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Israel's Attacks on Lebanon Could Sow the Seeds of Its Next Threat

Israel's attacks on Lebanon could sow the seeds of its next threat, creating conditions for future hostilities and potentially emboldening new adversaries.

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Israel's Attacks on Lebanon

Israel's Attacks on Lebanon Could Sow the Seeds of Its Next Threat | Israel soldiers patrol in southern Lebanon in 1984. Tel Aviv has tried and failed numerous times to secure a border zone in southern Lebanon. | Dan Hadani collection, National Library of Israel | Credits CC BY 4.0

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Israel's attacks on Lebanon are justified, according to Israeli officials, as part of its broader war against Hezbollah, Hamas, and Iran's "axis of resistance."

Yet the strikes weaken Benjamin Netanyahu's control over the conflict and may sow the seeds of future wars.

The September 23 airstrikes that killed at least 558 people and displaced thousands is yet another gamble to see how far Netanyahu can push his parliamentary coalition, his allies in Washington and most of all his enemies, primarily Iran.

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Why Are Israel's Attacks on Lebanon Intensifying?

On the anniversary of the October 7 Hamas attacks against Israeli communities which left 1,200 dead and another 250 hostage, Israel has neither defeated Hamas or negotiated an end to the conflict. The price of war has been the levelling of Gaza, more than 40,000 Gazans killed, and more than 700 IDF forces dead in combat.

At the same time, Israel has continued a war of attrition against Hezbollah in the north, a Lebanese Shi'a paramilitary force and a member of the "Axis of Resistance" led by Iran.

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